Friday 31 January 2020

Now that climate change is irrefutable, denialists like Andrew Bolt insist it will be good for us : The Guardian

"Even as the fires roar at the gates of power, the Murdoch columnist and others argue climate change is ‘overall, a good thing’"
 .......


"What to make of Bolt’s most recent concession to the reality of
actual climate change is what his insistent “good thing, overall” messaging reveals of the new political reality facing the conservative movement. Unlike an election result that can be willed into existence through sheer force of persuasion, the planet is not actually persuadable. The ideological resistance among conservatives to address the source of climate crisis is so powerful, so historically entrenched, that flames literally surround the city in which the conservative Australian prime minister himself has announced that “resilience and adaptation” amid the fires will substitute for climate mitigation, prevention, action to make them stop. On cue, the megaphones insist this nightmare will be good for us.

Take it from one of the selectively misquoted credible scientists: global heating is not heralding a new agricultural prosperity, these forces are causing forests to burn, not to bloom. They can’t offer solutions. The propaganda of a new denial is all they’ve got."

Read the original the Guardian Van Badham article

See also: Prepare Australia's transport now for climate change or face costly transport chaos

Bushfire survivors join claim against ANZ for financing climate crisis : The Guardian

A pedestrian walks past ANZ bankThree survivors joined Friends of the Earth to accuse ANZ of misleading consumers by investing in fossil fuel projects

 
One survivor, Jack Egan, claims there is a clear link between ANZ’s support for fossil fuels and the exacerbated bushfires conditions. Photograph: Mick Tsikas/AAP 
 
Three bushfire survivors have joined environment group Friends of the Earth in a legal claim against ANZ, accusing it of financing the climate crisis by funding fossil fuel projects.

Read The Guardian article 

Related:

With 130-Mile Coast, New Jersey Marks a First in Climate Change Fight: NYT

 

 

Tuesday 28 January 2020

Morrison now demands we 'adapt' to climate change catastrophes: IA

Independent Australia

"IT'S REMARKABLE that the least resilient, most non-adaptive Federal Government in living memory should now urge its citizens, in the face of horrific bushfires, to prove our resilience and adaptability by learning to put up with weather conditions that are hostile to human life.

It will, in Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s view, take resilience to learn to adapt to whatever horrors nature has in store for us as a consequence of anthropogenic climate change.



It’s difficult to argue against this. It will indeed take a resilience – previously unheard of within humanity – to withstand record-breaking temperatures, prolonged drought and catastrophic weather events such as the fires, floods and cyclones we’re certain to experience if more is not done globally and urgently to reduce emissions. The question is, why demand this resilience as the way forward, instead of committing to undertake mitigation and prevention?

Morrison’s latest tactic is a textbook example of behaviour typical of an abuser — also known as "gaslighting". In order to continue the pattern of abuse that brings gratification of one kind or another, the abuser must convince the abused that they have to adapt to the abusive conditions. In order to perform that adaptation, the abused must develop the resilience both to withstand the abuse, and to live an outwardly normal life. The abused party must not give any indication of the dysfunctional nature of their circumstances because the abuser must be allowed to maintain the illusion of normality for the eyes of the outside world. Resilience and adaptation are essential to achieve these goals, as many survivors of abuse will confirm."

Read the complete Independent Australia article 

Related:
Australia is going up in flames, and its government calls for resilience while planning for more coal mines." New York Times

Friday 24 January 2020

Why Sustained Climate Change Mitigation Doesn’t Stand a Chance: A Conspiracy of Natural and Psychological Forces: Medium


Almost 90% of Americans are avoiding climate change activism.

Recent research shows that at least 40% of Americans are concerned or even alarmed about global warming, But only 13% say they have called their elected officials or joined an activist group. One question on many minds is, despite saying they are alarmed and concerned, why aren’t the other 87% of Americans demanding policy changes that would curb greenhouse gases?
Photo by Glenn Fay
Apathy
It is easy to attribute climate activism avoidance to apathy. By definition, apathy is indifference, lack of interest, concern, or enthusiasm. That would seem to explain it. Yet the same survey, done by YPCC shows that 29% say they are indeed concerned about global warming. If they are concerned then that would mean that they shouldn’t be apathetic. Maybe they are concerned and they behave as if they are apathetic because something else is going on.

Per Espen Stoknes, in his book, What We Think About When we try not to Think About Global Warming, says that a lot of people are depressed about climate destabilization and environmental damage. Apathy can be one symptom of depression and maybe people are concerned and alarmed but depressed about it and therefore act apathetic.

The Bystander Effect

Another well-known phenomenon in psychology describes the diffusion of responsibility that occurs with large groups of people, called “the bystander effect”. The theory goes, when something bad happens, the larger the number of people that are present, the less likely an individual is to take action in an emergency.
In the bystander effect scenario, we could be bystanders to the slow heating of the earth’s atmosphere and systematic climate destabilization, but most of us assume someone else will surely take care of it. After all, the Chinese are still building coal-burning power plants. And if we do take action many of us believe we have little power to have an impact. The logic goes, others who do have more responsibility than us will surely take action. In this way, the majority of concerned and alarmed Americans stand by and assume someone else will take action.

Carbon Addiction

There is a third and more nefarious reason that concerned and alarmed Americans might not be taking action. And this reason is not something very many people are talking about. And the reason is that admitting it might reflect poorly on our morals. This third possible reason is that we are “carbon-addicts” and we are afraid that taking action might result in changing our lifestyles and identities.

How can we possibly become climate activists when we know, deep down inside, that it will threaten our supersized American consumption and the affluence of our resource-rich lifestyles? Will it threaten our personal attractiveness, our commodity culture, driving SUVs, flying around the world regularly, enjoying our carnivorous eating habits, shopping sprees, plentiful water, and unlimited energy that we have worked so hard to enjoy ? Especially when our egos and identities are built on those markers of our success?
In short — we can’t. So we create plausible deniability. It’s much easier to ignore it, to be skeptical, to not have time, and to find excuses instead of taking action. Climate activist avoidance is driven by all three of these reasons. But that’s not all.

Dynamic Conservatism

Did you ever notice how slow big institutions and corporations are to change? In the 1970’s MIT professor Donald Schon coined the term “dynamic conservatism” to describe how organizations inherently fight to avoid change. Dynamic conservatism in our government and society is reinforced by a marketplace that saturates our habitual lifestyles with our preoccupation with cars, consumption, meat-based diets, development, and all of the things that lead to more carbon in the atmosphere.

Photo by Glenn Fay
When political contributions and subsidies are added to the equation, the deck is stacked in favor of continued fossil fuel production and pollution. Schon suggested that learning, reflection, and perceptual change is needed to overcome dynamic conservatism. But the U.S. shows no signs of becoming a learning-oriented society now or any time in the future.

Sustained Leadership

Even if the vast majority of Americans became alarmed about climate change and realized they are like the frog in a beaker of water slowly heating up on a hot plate, our government leaders are heavily influenced by fossil fuel companies and big money.  

According to Forbes, we spend more on fossil fuel subsidies ($5.2 trillion a year) than we do on education. We don’t have the “sustained leadership” to make courageous changes in energy policy.

Sure, there are bright spots with some Green New Deal advocates and states taking the lead on renewables, local food production, planting trees, saving energy, and other fronts. We have students holding climate strikes and threatening to vote green in a few years.

But even if the next presidential administration and all of the countries around the world were to immediately take action on decarbonization, it would only be temporary until the next pro-fossil fuel oriented leaders come into power and reverse those changes. We are kidding ourselves to think that the green sea change is stable and consistent enough to actually result in a sustained period of enormous policy changes that would lead to significant decarbonization.

So no matter how encouraging the pockets of increasing climate awareness look, the reality is that our leaders and most of us will continue to be addicted to the idea of free or relatively cheap carbon-dumping in the atmosphere, regardless of the planetary consequences.

Should we give up on climate action? Absolutely not. Even though serious climate change mitigation may be impossible, anything we can do to decarbonize and avoid a runaway greenhouse effect depicted by the most hellish IPCC scenarios is a step in the right direction.

We can turn around apathy by promoting the opportunity for a prosperous green economy, our improved health, plentiful food, water, and military security. We can model civic responsibility, coach and cajole people to upend the bystander effect in order to inspire bystanders to pitch in. We can strive for and promote a learning society and attempt to elect leaders who will fight to reduce carbon in the air.

But it’s a much harder, maybe impossible sell to convince someone living in relative affluence and slack, who has a mindset rooted in hard work, prosperity, and entitled consumption that they need to actively fight the institutions that made their lifestyle possible, rather than enjoy what they think they so richly deserve.


Climate Change is a cause of attacks on democracy


As the climate crisis worsens and conflict increases over scarce resources expect more threats to authentic democracy.


In The Maldives

President Abdulla Yameen of the Maldives. AFP/Getty


"According to a 2017 study published in The Lancet, extreme weather could displace up to a billion people around the world by the middle of the twenty-first century—an unprecedented human migration will undoubtedly influence the politics of wealthy countries, pushing them to the right.
The best way to counteract this phenomenon is naturally to halt, or at least slow, the effects of climate change. So far, the Paris agreement is the only tangible result of those efforts, and its fate is far from certain .............  But this might change, if the problems caused by climate change—not just stronger hurricanes, droughts, and rising seas, but political rupture—keep washing up on the disappearing shorelines of wealthy governments."

Go to The New Republic article



Around the world



"In its 5th Assessment Report (2014), the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) unequivocally confirmed that climate change is real and that human-made greenhouse gas emissions are its primary cause. The report identified the increasing frequency of extreme weather events and natural disasters, rising sea-levels, floods, heat waves, droughts, desertification, water shortages, and the spread of tropical and vector-borne diseases as some of the adverse impacts of climate change. These phenomena directly and indirectly threaten the full and effective enjoyment of a range of human rights by people throughout the world, including the rights to life, water and sanitation, food, health, housing, self-determination, culture and development."

Go to the ohchr.org story



In Australia


"Scott Morrison (Australia's Prime Minister) has signalled a crackdown on “selfish, indulgent and apocalyptic” environmental activists."
Go to The New Daily story 







"It takes some chutzpah to stand up with a straight face and deliver a speech foreshadowing a government crackdown on protest activity while in the same breath declaring that a new insidious form of progressivism is intent on denying the liberties of Australians."

Go to The Guardian story
 


Our democratic freedoms are under threat in Australia and around the world.


Australian Federal Police raid the ABC offices

"Source confidentiality is one of journalists’ most central ethical principles. It is recognised by the United Nations and is vital to a functioning democracy and free, independent, robust and effective media. 

Go to The Conversation article



"If the major parties and politicians want to rebuild trust with voters, they will need to change the way they do politics: stop misusing their entitlements, strengthen political donations laws, tighten regulation of lobbyists, and slow the revolving door between political offices and lobbying positions."

Let's safeguard our democratic institutions such as free speech, restrictions on overwhelming amounts of corporate donations to political parties, freedom to protest, freedom to privacy, freedom to gather.
 

In the USA

Go to The Atlantic article: David Goldman / AP


"As heat, disaster risks, and rising seas bombard local governments, the ability of those governments to fulfill their basic functions—the delivery of services, the maintenance of the safety net, and managing civil, familial, and educational institutions—could be degraded, too. This could manifest in three distinct phenomena that are already on display in disaster-affected areas: the increased dominance of private and developer-class interests in local politics, the acceleration of existing wealth inequality, and the collapse of institutions dedicated to disaster response."

Go to The Atlantic article



Prominent media corporations are supporting climate deniers, fossil fuel dependent corporations and corporations whose profits depend on degrading the human environment.

Let's care for our vulnerable. 

Lets support action plans (see below) to tackle climate change.

Go to World Bank document


Wednesday 15 January 2020

Sea Level Rise: It’s Probably Worse Than You Think: Medium


As you know, this newsletter is usually fairly inspiring. But this one is not (overall). And that’s because we really need to talk about sea level rise again.
Sorry, but the stakes are insanely high and everyone needs to know about this stuff!
That being said, I do end with an action you can take to help if you so choose! …Or you can just tell your friends about this mind-bending sea level rise predicament. Talking about these things and finding new ways to help together is always good.

Key Takeaways:

  • We’ve locked in about 7.5 ft (2.3 m) of sea level rise already.
  • Sea levels will likely be at least 3.3 ft (1 m) higher by 2100.
  • Last time Earth got this hot, sea levels were way, WAY higher.
  • Ice loss in Greenland and Antarctica is decades ahead of schedule. There’s been significant acceleration.
The fact of the matter is that coastal cities around the world will eventually have to make sci-fi adaptations or retreat…but I’m getting ahead of myself.



Thursday 9 January 2020

Climate Change is a cause of attacks on democracy

As the climate crisis worsens and conflict increases over scarce resources expect more threats to authentic democracy.


In The Maldives

President Abdulla Yameen of the Maldives. AFP/Getty


"According to a 2017 study published in The Lancet, extreme weather could displace up to a billion people around the world by the middle of the twenty-first century—an unprecedented human migration will undoubtedly influence the politics of wealthy countries, pushing them to the right.

The best way to counteract this phenomenon is naturally to halt, or at least slow, the effects of climate change. So far, the Paris agreement is the only tangible result of those efforts, and its fate is far from certain .............  But this might change, if the problems caused by climate change—not just stronger hurricanes, droughts, and rising seas, but political rupture—keep washing up on the disappearing shorelines of wealthy governments."

Go to The New Republic article



Around the world



"In its 5th Assessment Report (2014), the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) unequivocally confirmed that climate change is real and that human-made greenhouse gas emissions are its primary cause. The report identified the increasing frequency of extreme weather events and natural disasters, rising sea-levels, floods, heat waves, droughts, desertification, water shortages, and the spread of tropical and vector-borne diseases as some of the adverse impacts of climate change. These phenomena directly and indirectly threaten the full and effective enjoyment of a range of human rights by people throughout the world, including the rights to life, water and sanitation, food, health, housing, self-determination, culture and development."

Go to the ohchr.org story



In Australia



"Scott Morrison (Australia's Prime Minister) has signalled a crackdown on “selfish, indulgent and apocalyptic” environmental activists."
Go to The New Daily story 







"It takes some chutzpah to stand up with a straight face and deliver a speech foreshadowing a government crackdown on protest activity while in the same breath declaring that a new insidious form of progressivism is intent on denying the liberties of Australians."

Go to The Guardian story
 


Our democratic freedoms are under threat in Australia and around the world.


Australian Federal Police raid the ABC offices

"Source confidentiality is one of journalists’ most central ethical principles. It is recognised by the United Nations and is vital to a functioning democracy and free, independent, robust and effective media. 

Go to The Conversation article



"If the major parties and politicians want to rebuild trust with voters, they will need to change the way they do politics: stop misusing their entitlements, strengthen political donations laws, tighten regulation of lobbyists, and slow the revolving door between political offices and lobbying positions."

Let's safeguard our democratic institutions such as free speech, restrictions on overwhelming amounts of corporate donations to political parties, freedom to protest, freedom to privacy, freedom to gather.
 

In the USA

Go to The Atlantic article: David Goldman / AP


"As heat, disaster risks, and rising seas bombard local governments, the ability of those governments to fulfill their basic functions—the delivery of services, the maintenance of the safety net, and managing civil, familial, and educational institutions—could be degraded, too. This could manifest in three distinct phenomena that are already on display in disaster-affected areas: the increased dominance of private and developer-class interests in local politics, the acceleration of existing wealth inequality, and the collapse of institutions dedicated to disaster response."

Go to The Atlantic article




Prominent media corporations are supporting climate deniers, fossil fuel dependent corporations and corporations whose profits depend on degrading the human environment.

Let's care for our vulnerable. 

Lets support action plans (see below) to tackle climate change.

Go to World Bank document