"It’s a tragic missed opportunity. The new report on land
by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) shies away from
the big issues and fails to properly represent the science. As a
result, it gives us few clues about how we might survive the century.
Has it been nobbled? Was the fear of taking on the farming industry –
alongside the oil and coal companies whose paid shills have attacked it
so fiercely – too much to bear? At the moment, I have no idea. But what
the panel has produced is pathetic.
The problem is that it concentrates on just one of the two ways of
counting the carbon costs of farming. The first way – the IPCC’s
approach – could be described as farming’s current account. How much
greenhouse gas does driving tractors, spreading fertiliser and raising
livestock produce every year? According to the panel’s report, the
answer is around 23% of the planet-heating gases we currently produce.
But this fails miserably to capture the overall impact of food
production.
The second accounting method is more important. This could be
described as the capital account: how does farming compare to the
natural ecosystems that would otherwise have occupied the land? A paper published in Nature
last year, but not mentioned by the IPCC, sought to count this cost.
Please read these figures carefully. They could change your life."
Tomorrow a special report on how land use affects climate change will be released by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
Land degradation, deforestation, and the expansion of our deserts,
along with agriculture and the other ways people shape land, are all
major contributors to global climate change.
Conversely, trees remove carbon dioxide and store it safely in their
trunks, roots and branches.
Using ecological mechanisms for reducing and storing carbon is a
growing field of study. Broadly known as “natural climate solutions”,
carbon can be stored in wetlands, grasslands, natural forests and
agriculture.
This is called “sequestration”, and the more diverse and longer-lived
the ecosystem, the more it helps mitigate the effect of climate change.
Allowing trees to regenerate
naturally is a more effective, immediate and low-cost method of removing
and storing atmospheric carbon than planting new trees.Shutterstock
Research has estimated these natural carbon sinks can provide 37% of the CO₂ reduction needed to keep the rise in global temperatures below 2℃.
But this research can be wrongly interpreted to imply that the
priority is to plant young trees. In fact, the major climate solution is
the protection and recovery of carbon-rich and long-lived ecosystems,
especially natural forests.
Read more:
Extreme weather caused by climate change has damaged 45% of Australia's coastal habitat
With the imminent release of the new IPCC report, now is a good time
to prioritise the protection and recovery of existing ecosystems over
planting trees.
Forest ecosystems (including the soil) store more carbon than the atmosphere. Their loss would trigger emissions
that would exceed the remaining carbon budget for limiting global
warming to less than the 2℃ above pre-industrial levels, let alone 1.5℃,
threshold.
Read more:
40 years ago, scientists predicted climate change. And hey, they were right
Natural forest systems, with their rich and complex biodiversity,
the product of ecological and evolutionary processes, are stable,
resilient, far better at adapting to changing conditions and store more carbon than young, degraded or plantation forests.
Protect existing trees
Forest degradation is caused by selective logging, temporary
clearing, and other human land use. In some areas, emissions from
degradation can exceed those of deforestation. Once damaged, natural ecosystems are more vulnerable to drought, fires and climate change.
Recently published research found helping natural forest regrow
can have a globally significant effect on carbon dioxide levels. This
approach – called proforestation – is a more effective, immediate and
low-cost method for removing and storing atmospheric carbon in the
long-term than tree planting. And it can be used across many different
kinds of forests around the world.
Avoiding further loss and
degradation of primary forests and intact forest landscapes, and
allowing degraded forests to naturally regrow, would reduce global
carbon emissions.Shutterstock
The
way we currently communicate climate change — be it through articles in
the newspaper, conversations with friends, or billboard adverts — is
fundamentally flawed.
Most discussions of climate change are framed negatively. Take the below screenshot from The Guardian’s
climate change section for instance (as of 17 Dec 2018). We have
climate change ruining dreams of a white Christmas, the message that the
next two years will determine humanity’s fate, corrupted businesses,
activists not doing enough protesting, and the end of blackcurrants.
It’s no wonder most people fail to engage with the narrative around
climate change: it’s simply all gloom and doom.
Can one climate change scientist change the minds of a roomful of climate change sceptics?
Insight: Tuesdays at 8:30pm on SBS ONE http://www.sbs.com.au/news/insight
How many millions of people will be forced to leave their homes by 2050?
This documentary looks at the so-called hotspots of climate change in
the Sahel zone, Indonesia and the Russian Tundra.
Lake Chad in the Sahel zone has already shrunk by 90 percent since the
1960s due to the increasing heat. About 40 million people will be forced
to migrate to places where there is enough rainfall. Migration has
always existed as a strategy to adapt to a changing environment. But the
number of those forced to migrate solely because of climate change has
increased dramatically since the 1990s. It is a double injustice: after
becoming rich at the expense of the rest of the world, the
industrialized countries are now polluting the atmosphere with their
emissions and bringing a second misfortune to the inhabitants of the
poorer regions. One of them is Mohammed Ibrahim: as Lake Chad got hotter
and drier, he decided to go where the temperatures were less extreme
and there was still a little water, trekking with his wife, children and
70 camels from Niger to Chad and then further south. The journey lasted
several years and many members of his herd died of thirst. Now he and
his family are living in a refugee camp: they only have seven camels
left. Mohammed is one of many who have left their homelands in the Sahel
- not because of conflict and crises, but because of the high
temperatures. He's a real climate refugee.
A heat wave is causing unprecedented melting of the Greenland ice sheet. Meanwhile, the World Meteorological Organization just declared July 2019 the hottest month ever recorded. We speak with Jason Box, professor and ice climatologist at the Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland, about the intensifying climate crisis.
He says humanity must move toward living in balance with the environment. “If we don’t reduce greenhouse gas emissions and ultimately stabilize CO2 … there’s no real prospect for a stable society or even a governable society,” Box says. “Perpetual growth on a finite planet is, by definition, impossible.”
After Europe experienced record-breaking temperatures this month,
climate scientists are now concerned that a heat wave will settle
farther north. This week, a so-called “heat dome” is expected to strike
over the Arctic, causing worries about potential ice melt and rising
sea levels. Washington Post reporter Andrew Freedman joins Hari
Sreenivasan to discuss the causes and consequences.